?國(guó)際貨幣基金組織將沙特今年的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)目標(biāo)定為7.6%，將預(yù)期提高了2.8%。

?石油產(chǎn)量和出口收入的增加為沙特經(jīng)濟(jì)提供了動(dòng)力。

據(jù)今日油價(jià)網(wǎng)4月19日?qǐng)?bào)道，國(guó)際貨幣基金組織(IMF)周二上調(diào)了沙特經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)預(yù)期，該組織稱，油價(jià)將推動(dòng)沙特經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)入高增長(zhǎng)模式，今年將增長(zhǎng)一倍以上。

國(guó)際貨幣基金組織將沙特今年的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)目標(biāo)定為7.6%，將預(yù)期提高了2.8%。

雖然這在很大程度上歸因于多年來(lái)的高油價(jià)，但I(xiàn)MF也注意到非石油收入的增長(zhǎng)，并預(yù)計(jì)將進(jìn)一步增長(zhǎng)。

IMF在其《世界經(jīng)濟(jì)展望》報(bào)告中表示：“我們將對(duì)沙特經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)率的估計(jì)提高了2.8個(gè)百分點(diǎn)，這反映了石油產(chǎn)量根據(jù)歐佩克+協(xié)議的增加，以及更多非石油產(chǎn)量增長(zhǎng)超過(guò)預(yù)期?！?/p>

凱投宏觀的一份報(bào)告顯示，3月份沙特石油產(chǎn)量增至1030萬(wàn)桶/天，同比增長(zhǎng)26.7%，是該國(guó)近20年來(lái)最快的增速。

凱投宏觀預(yù)測(cè)沙特經(jīng)濟(jì)今年將增長(zhǎng)10%，2023年將增長(zhǎng)5.3%。

與此同時(shí)，據(jù)《阿拉伯新聞》報(bào)道，凱投宏觀的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家 James Swanston仍然樂(lè)觀地認(rèn)為，沙特將進(jìn)一步增加產(chǎn)量，超出歐佩克+已達(dá)成的協(xié)議。

國(guó)際貨幣基金組織(IMF)對(duì)沙特阿拉伯的雙重增長(zhǎng)預(yù)測(cè)出爐之際，該國(guó)正將其對(duì)整體經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的預(yù)測(cè)從2021年的6.1%下調(diào)至2022年和2023年的3.6%。

季廷偉 摘譯自 今日油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Saudi Economic Growth To Double This Year On High Oil Prices 

?The IMF is targeting 7.6% growth for the Saudi economy this year, raising its forecast by 2.8%.

?The increase in oil production and export revenues fuel the Saudi economy.

High oil prices will push Saudi Arabia’s economy into high-growth mode, more than doubling this year, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which raised its growth forecast for the Kingdom on Tuesday. 

The IMF is targeting 7.6% growth for the Saudi economy this year, raising its forecast by 2.8%. 

While much of this was attributed to multi-year-high oil prices, the IMF has also noted growth and expected further growth in non-oil revenues. 

“We raised our estimates of the growth rate of the Saudi economy by 2.8 percentage points, which reflects the increase in oil production in accordance with the OPEC+ agreement, in conjunction with the more non-oil output growth exceeding expectations,” the IMF said in its World Economic Outlook report.

A Capital Economics report has Saudi oil production rising to 10.3 million barrels per day in March, for 26.7% year-on-year growth, which is classified as the fastest rate of growth for the kingdom in nearly two decades. 

Capital Economics forecasts the Saudi economy will grow by 10% this year and by 5.3% in 2023. 

At the same time, Capital Economics economist James Swanston remains optimistic that the Saudis will further increase output beyond what OPEC+ has agreed to, Arab News reports. 

The IMF’s double-growth projections for Saudi Arabia come as it slashes its forecast for overall economic growth from 6.1% in 2021 to 3.6% in 2022 and 2023.