據(jù)8月11日Oil monster消息：盡管COVID-19病例激增，但有跡象表明美國(guó)燃料需求上升，周二油價(jià)從最近的下跌中反彈，漲幅超過2%。

　　布倫特原油價(jià)格上漲1.59美元，漲幅2.3%，收于每桶70.63美元，美國(guó)原油上漲1.81美元，漲幅2.7%，收于每桶68.29美元。

　　由于全球主要石油消費(fèi)國(guó)的感染人數(shù)激增，這兩項(xiàng)合約周一均下跌約2.5%，上周創(chuàng)下數(shù)月來最大跌幅。

　　冠狀病毒Delta變種的迅速傳播使美國(guó)的病例和住院人數(shù)達(dá)到六個(gè)月來的最高水平。

　　盡管如此，美國(guó)能源信息署(EIA)在月度預(yù)測(cè)中表示，到目前為止，美國(guó)就業(yè)增長(zhǎng)和流動(dòng)性的增加已經(jīng)推動(dòng)了2021年的汽油消費(fèi)。

　　預(yù)計(jì)2021年美國(guó)汽油消費(fèi)量平均為880萬桶/天，高于2020年的800萬桶/天。盡管如此，EIA表示，由于在家工作的人越來越多，美國(guó)的汽油消費(fèi)量在2022年之前仍將低于2019年的水平。

　　路透初步調(diào)查顯示，美國(guó)原油、汽油和其他成品油庫存上周可能有所下降，預(yù)計(jì)汽油庫存將連續(xù)第四周下降。

　　據(jù)兩位市場(chǎng)消息人士援引美國(guó)石油協(xié)會(huì)的數(shù)據(jù)稱，截至8月6日的一周，原油庫存減少了81.6萬桶。

　　政府庫存數(shù)據(jù)將于美國(guó)東部時(shí)間周三上午10:30公布。

　　美國(guó)參議院周二通過了1萬億美元的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施一攬子計(jì)劃，這可能是美國(guó)幾十年來在道路、橋梁、機(jī)場(chǎng)和水路方面的最大投資。分析師表示，如果該法案獲得通過，將提振經(jīng)濟(jì)和對(duì)石油產(chǎn)品的需求。

　　西方國(guó)家成功的疫苗接種計(jì)劃和令人鼓舞的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)與東方國(guó)家不斷上升的感染率形成鮮明對(duì)比。

　　馮娟 摘譯自 oil monster

　　原文如下：

　　Oil Up More Than 2%, Boosted by Forecast for U.S. Fuel Demand

　　Oil prices rose more than 2% on Tuesday, rebounding from recent losses on signs of rising fuel demand in the United States despite a surge in COVID-19 cases.

　　Brent crude rose $1.59, or 2.3%, to settle at $70.63 a barrel and U.S. oil climbed $1.81, or 2.7%, to end the session at $68.29 a barrel.

　　Both contracts dropped around 2.5% on Monday, and last week notched their biggest losses in months as infections surged in major global oil consumers.

　　"Predicting short-term price swings has become extremely difficult given the arduous process of predicting the impact of the Delta variant on forward global oil demand, particularly in countries ," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates LLC in Galena, Illinois.

　　The rapid spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus has pushed cases and hospitalizations in the United States to a six-month high.

　　Still, U.S. job growth and increasing mobility have boosted gasoline consumption so far in 2021, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in a monthly forecast.

　　U.S. gasoline consumption is expected to average 8.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2021, up from 8 million bpd in 2020. Still, the EIA said U.S. gasoline consumption will remain below 2019 levels through 2022 due to the proliferation of people working from home.

　　U.S. crude, gasoline, and other product inventories are likely to have dropped last week, with gasoline stocks forecast to fall for a fourth consecutive week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed.

　　Crude stocks fell by 816,000 barrels for the week ended Aug. 6, according to two market sources, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

　　Government data on inventories are due at 10:30 a.m. ET on Wednesday.

　　The U.S. Senate on Tuesday passed a $1 trillion infrastructure package that could serve as the nation's biggest investment in decades in roads, bridges, airports and waterways. If enacted, the bill would boost the economy and demand for oil products, analysts said.

　　Successful vaccination programmes in the West and encouraging economic data come in sharp contrast to rising infections in the East.

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