據(jù)7月20日Neftegaz.RU. 報道，歐盟氫能財團(tuán)（Hydrogen4EU）委托的一項(xiàng)研究顯示，歐洲能源系統(tǒng)在可能的凈零排放未來將需要當(dāng)前相同數(shù)量的天然氣。
歐盟氫能財團(tuán)是一個研究伙伴關(guān)系，旨在了解低碳和可再生氫對實(shí)現(xiàn)歐洲能源轉(zhuǎn)型目標(biāo)的貢獻(xiàn)。
幾個合作伙伴資助了這項(xiàng)研究，包括英國石油公司（BP）、埃尼集團(tuán)（ENI）、挪國油（Equinor）、埃克森美孚（ExxonMobil）、OMV、殼牌公司（Shell）、Snam、道達(dá)爾、Wintershall Dea、Zukunft Gas等。
科學(xué)家們考慮了歐盟能源系統(tǒng)發(fā)展的兩種情況，第一種是技術(shù)多樣化和廣泛使用脫碳技術(shù)。在這種情況下，到2050年天然氣在一次能源需求中的份額將達(dá)到32%。如今，這一比例約為25%。
第二種情況是指有目的地發(fā)展可再生能源。然而，即使在這種情況下，歐盟的天然氣需求仍不會改變。到2050年，這一比例將達(dá)到26%左右。在這種情況下，天然氣作為可再生能源的補(bǔ)充，提供了重要的靈活性。
值得一提的是，將CCUS技術(shù)用于天然氣的重要性。分析師們強(qiáng)調(diào)，未來天然氣消費(fèi)的重點(diǎn)將不可避免地從最終用戶的直接燃燒轉(zhuǎn)向氫氣和電力的生產(chǎn)。
GasNatural總裁兼Wintershall Dea首席運(yùn)營官Dawn Summers在研究報告陳述會上表示:“一條可靠的脫碳之路需要的不僅僅是電氣化，利用可再生能源和低碳天然氣的能量將是最快的。”
歐盟委員會于2019年12月發(fā)布的《歐洲綠色協(xié)議》加強(qiáng)了此前宣布的可持續(xù)發(fā)展、可再生能源部署和減少溫室氣體排放方面的目標(biāo)。
該協(xié)議為歐盟的脫碳設(shè)定了前所未有的目標(biāo)，即到2030年，在1990年的基礎(chǔ)上減少55%的排放，到2050年實(shí)現(xiàn)凈零排放。
王佳晶 摘譯自 Neftegaz.RU.
原文如下：
EU gas demand to remain unchanged even in net-zero future
European energy system will need similar amounts of natural gas in a feasible net-zero future as it does today, shows the study commissioned by the Hydrogen4EU consortium.
Hydrogen4EU is a research partnership aiming to inform on the contribution of low-carbon and renewable hydrogen in reaching the European energy transition goals.
Several partners funded the research.
Among them are BP, ENI, Equinor, ExxonMobil, OMV, Shell, Snam, Total, Wintershall Dea, Zukunft Gas and others.
The scientists considered 2 scenarios of the EU energy system development.
The 1st involves technology diversification and using a wide range of decarbonization technologies.
In this case, the share of gas in primary energy demand will reach 32% by 2050.
Today it is around 25%.
The 2nd scenario means the purposeful development of renewables.
However, even in this case, the gas demand in the EU remains unchanged.
It will be around 26% by 2050.
In this scenario, gas ‘provides important flexibility as a complement to renewables’.
The authors note the importance of using CCUS technologies with natural gas.
They highlight that in the future, the focus of gas consumption will inevitably shift from direct combustion by end-users to the production of hydrogen and electricity.
Dawn Summers, President of GasNaturally and COO of Wintershall Dea, said at the presentation of the study:
A credible path to decarbonisation will require more than just electrification
Harnessing the power of both renewables and low-carbon gas will deliver the fastest
The European Green Deal, published in December 2019 by the European Commission, strengthened the previously announced objectives in terms of sustainability, renewable energy deployment and reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.
It sets unprecedented objectives for the decarbonization of the EU, with a target of net-zero emissions by 2050 and an intermediary 55% reduction of emissions in 2030, compared to 1990.
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