據(jù)OilNOW網(wǎng)站12月27日消息 印度11月原油進(jìn)口扭轉(zhuǎn)了下降趨勢(shì),達(dá)到10個(gè)月來(lái)的最高水平,因?yàn)闊捰蜕填A(yù)計(jì)會(huì)出現(xiàn)更高的庫(kù)存,但分析師繼續(xù)密切關(guān)注冠狀病毒奧密克戎的發(fā)展情況,以了解其是否會(huì)影響未來(lái)幾個(gè)月的進(jìn)口量。
隨著印度所有煉油廠的平均運(yùn)行率上升到100%,煉油商正在加速原油采購(gòu),因?yàn)轭A(yù)計(jì)產(chǎn)品需求將持續(xù)增長(zhǎng),汽油等運(yùn)輸燃料的需求已恢復(fù)到疫情前的水平。
印度石油規(guī)劃和分析部門的最新臨時(shí)數(shù)據(jù)顯示,11月印度共進(jìn)口1837萬(wàn)噸原油,即平均450萬(wàn)桶/天,環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)7.5%。
這扭轉(zhuǎn)了10月份進(jìn)口的三個(gè)月低點(diǎn)。印度11月份的原油進(jìn)口也同比增長(zhǎng)0.5%。
中國(guó)和印度將在2022年恢復(fù)其作為增長(zhǎng)引擎的第一線地位,但東南亞也將做出巨大貢獻(xiàn),尤其是在疫苗接種率較高的國(guó)家。
1-11月,印度原油進(jìn)口同比增長(zhǎng)5.8%,達(dá)到1.918億噸,即420萬(wàn)桶/天。
隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)增強(qiáng)和出口需求增加,印度國(guó)內(nèi)需求強(qiáng)勁,預(yù)計(jì)2022年印度煉油廠運(yùn)行量將增加37萬(wàn)桶/天,達(dá)到520萬(wàn)桶/天。
吳恒磊 編譯自 OilNOW
原文如下:
India crude imports hit highest level in 10 months
India’s crude imports in November reversed a declining trend to hit its highest level in 10 months as refiners build inventories in anticipation of higher runs, but analysts continued to keep a close eye on developments around the omicron variant of the coronavirus to see if it impacts inflows in the coming months.
As average run rates have risen to 100% across all Indian refineries, they are accelerating crude purchases on expectations of a sustained increase in demand for products, with demand for transport fuels such as gasoline having recovered to pre-pandemic levels.
India imported 18.37 million mt, or an average 4.5 million b/d of crude oil in November, up 7.5% month on month, latest provisional data from the country’s Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell showed.
This reversed the three-month low for imports seen in October. India’s crude imports in November were also up 0.5% on the year.
“China and India will resume their front-line status in being the engines of growth in 2022, but Southeast Asia will also contribute substantially, especially in countries with high vaccination rates”.
Over January-November, India’s crude imports rose 5.8% year on year to 191.8 million mt, or 4.2 million b/d.
India’s refinery runs are expected to rise by 370,000 b/d to 5.2 million b/d in 2022 amid strong domestic demand as economic activity gains steam and export demand rises.
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