據(jù)世界石油12月9日?qǐng)?bào)道，加拿大能源監(jiān)管機(jī)構(gòu)周四表示，隨著各國(guó)努力減少碳排放，加拿大的石油產(chǎn)量可能在未來(lái)十年繼續(xù)增加，然后開(kāi)始下降。

一份報(bào)告稱，2032年的加拿大日產(chǎn)量將從今年的500萬(wàn)桶增加到580萬(wàn)桶，然后在2050年下降到480萬(wàn)桶。這一預(yù)測(cè)是基于各國(guó)繼續(xù)加強(qiáng)應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化的措施，導(dǎo)致經(jīng)通脹調(diào)整后的布倫特原油價(jià)格從今年的每桶68美元，降至2050年的每桶40美元。

報(bào)告預(yù)測(cè)，如果氣候變化措施不那么嚴(yán)格，加拿大的產(chǎn)量將在 2040 年穩(wěn)定在每天 670 萬(wàn)桶。加拿大在阿爾伯塔省北部的油砂礦中擁有世界第三大原油儲(chǔ)量，是美國(guó)最大的石油供應(yīng)國(guó)。

黎泱 編譯自 世界石油

原文如下：

Canada’s oil output may start declining in 2032, regulator says

Canada’s oil production could continue to rise for the next decade and then begin declining as countries strive to reduce carbon emissions, the Canada Energy Regulator said Thursday.

Production will increase to 5.8 million barrels a day in 2032 from 5 million this year and then decline to 4.8 million barrels a day in 2050, according to a report. The projection is based countries continuing to strengthen measures to fight climate change, contributing to inflation-adjusted Brent crude falling to $40 a barrel by 2050 from $68 a barrel this year.

Should climate change measures be less stringent, Canadian output will plateau at 6.7 million barrels a day in 2040, the report predicts. Canada, holder of the world’s third-largest crude oil reserves in its oil sands of Northern Alberta, is the largest foreign oil supplier to the U.S.

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