據今日油價網站7月27日消息 據彭博社報道，由于日本是世界上最大的液化天然氣進口國，日本雄心勃勃地將能源轉向可再生能源正威脅著未來對液化天然氣的需求。

　　日本上周公布了在未來十年內將可再生能源發電能力提高兩倍的計劃，將化石燃料在其能源結構中的比例降至50%以下，這項計劃將包括在此期間將日本液化天然氣發電量減半。

　　彭博社引述交易員和分析師的話稱，這些雄心壯志可能導致到2030年日本的液化天然氣進口量減少三分之一，也將終結目前占日本液化天然氣供應大部分的長期液化天然氣供應協議。

　　報道引述瑞士信貸能源分析師Saul Cavonic的話稱：“此舉將進一步抑制日本液化天然氣買家簽署2030年以后長期協議的意愿，如果需求最終高于目標水平，這可能使他們更容易受到短期價格動態的影響。”

　　要實現到2030年將二氧化碳排放量在2013年的基礎上減少46%的目標可能會很困難。根據華爾街日報關于新能源計劃的報道，這一目標比日本早先的減排承諾高出77%，這將涉及在一個可用土地稀缺的國家大幅提高太陽能和風力發電能力。

　　王磊 摘譯自 今日油價

　　原文如下：

　　Japan Energy Transition Threatens LNG Demand

　　Japan’s ambitious energy shift to renewables is threatening future demand for liquefied natural gas as the country is the world’s largest importer of the commodity, Bloomberg reports.

　　Japan last week unveiled plans to boost renewable power generation capacity twofold over the next ten years, cutting the share of fossil fuels in its energy mix to less than 50 percent. The plan will involve halving the amount of energy Japan generates from liquefied natural gas over the period.

　　Bloomberg quotes traders and analysts as saying these ambitions could see LNG imports to Japan drop by a third by 2030 and will also put an end to long-term LNG supply deals that currently account for most of the country’s LNG supply.

　　“The move will further dampen Japanese LNG buyers’ appetite to sign long-term deals that extend beyond 2030, which could leave them more exposed to short-term price dynamics if demand ends up higher than targeted,” the report quoted Credit Suisse energy analyst Saul Cavonic as saying.

　　Achieving the goal of cutting carbon dioxide emissions by 46 percent from 2013 levels by 2030 may prove difficult. The target is 77 percent higher than Japan’s earlier emissions-cutting commitments, according to a Wall Street Journal report on the new energy plan. It will involve a substantial increase in solar and wind generation capacity in a country where available land is scarce.

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