據(jù)天然氣加工網(wǎng)站8月10日報(bào)道 美國能源信息管理署（EIA）在其《短期能源展望》中表示，美國天然氣產(chǎn)量將在2021年上升，去年因冠狀病毒需求破壞而下降。

　　EIA預(yù)測的干氣產(chǎn)量將從2020年的913.5立方英尺/日上升到2021年的921.5億立方英尺/日和2022年的948.8立方英尺/日。相比之下，2019年的歷史最高水平為930.6立方英尺/日。

　　該機(jī)構(gòu)還預(yù)測，2021年天然氣消耗量將降至824.6億立方英尺/日，然后從2020年的832.5億立方英尺/日上升至2022年的837.8億立方英尺/日。相比之下，2019年的記錄高點(diǎn)為851.5億立方英尺/日。

　　如果前景正確，2022年將是自2006年以來消費(fèi)連續(xù)兩年首次下降。

　　EIA的2021年8月供應(yīng)預(yù)測低于7月預(yù)測的925.5億立方英尺/日，而8月需求預(yù)測高于7月預(yù)測的823.2億立方英尺/日。

　　該機(jī)構(gòu)預(yù)測，2021年美國液化天然氣出口量將達(dá)到94.8億立方英尺/日，2022年將達(dá)到101.5億立方英尺/日，高于2020年創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的65.3億立方英尺/日，低于2021年7月95.6億立方英尺/日的預(yù)測。

　　EIA預(yù)計(jì)美國煤炭產(chǎn)量將在2021年上升至6.07億短噸，然后從2020年的5.35億短噸下滑至2022年的6.01億短噸，這是1965年以來的最低水平，因?yàn)橛捎陬A(yù)測天然氣價(jià)格上漲，發(fā)電廠燃燒更多煤炭。

　　EIA預(yù)計(jì)，由于發(fā)電商燃燒更多煤炭，2021年燃燒化石燃料產(chǎn)生的碳排放量將增至48.87億噸，2022年將增至49.33億噸，這一數(shù)字高于2020年的45.71億噸（1983年以來的最低水平）。

　　王磊 摘譯自 天然氣加工

　　原文如下：

　　U.S. natgas output to rise, demand to fall in 2021

　　U.S. natural gas production will rise in 2021 after falling last year due to coronavirus demand destruction, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in its Short Term Energy Outlook.

　　EIA projected dry gas production will rise to 92.15 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in 2021 and 94.88 bcfd in 2022 from 91.35 bcfd in 2020. That compares with an all-time high of 93.06 bcfd in 2019.

　　The agency also projected gas consumption would fall to 82.46 bcfd in 2021 before rising to 83.78 bcfd in 2022 from 83.25 bcfd in 2020. That compares with a record high of 85.15 bcfd in 2019.

　　If the outlook is correct, 2022 would mark the first time consumption falls for two years in a row since 2006.

　　The EIA's 2021 supply projection in August was lower than its July forecast of 92.55 bcfd, while its August demand projection was higher than its July forecast of 82.32 bcfd.

　　The agency forecast U.S. liquefied natural gas exports would reach 9.48 bcfd in 2021 and 10.15 bcfd in 2022, up from a record 6.53 bcfd in 2020. That is lower than its July forecast of 9.56 bcfd in 2021.

　　The EIA projected U.S. coal production will rise to 607 million short tons in 2021 before sliding to 601 million short tons in 2022 from 535 million short tons in 2020, its lowest since 1965, as power plants burn more coal due to a forecast increase in gas prices.

　　The EIA projected carbon emissions from burning fossil fuels will rise to 4.887 billion tonnes in 2021 and 4.933 billion tonnes in 2022 as power generators burn more coal. That is up from 4.571 billion tonnes in 2020, which was the lowest since 1983.