據(jù)油價網(wǎng)2021年7月6日報道，盡管預(yù)計(jì)本周天然氣需求將高企，且預(yù)計(jì)天氣將出現(xiàn)高溫，伴隨著原油價格下滑，美國的天然氣價格周二早些時候也出現(xiàn)了下跌。
美國東部時間周二下午12:32，亨利中心的美國基準(zhǔn)天然氣價格為每百萬英熱單位(MMBtu) 3.618美元，當(dāng)日下跌了2.19%。
天然氣價格從周一觸及的每百萬英熱(MMBtu) 3.70美元下跌。 周二，隨著原油價格從早盤的多年高點(diǎn)回落，天然氣價格也下跌。 油價下跌是因?yàn)榻灰咨涕_始獲利了結(jié)，其他人開始擔(dān)心歐佩克+內(nèi)部的不和可能會引發(fā)另一場類似于2020年3月的那場油價戰(zhàn)。
上個星期，美國天然氣價格上漲，原因是天然氣市場供過于求，而且預(yù)計(jì)美國許多地區(qū)的天氣比平常更熱，對電力的需求會很大。 上周亨利中心天然氣價格的上漲導(dǎo)致即期期貨價格創(chuàng)下29個月來的最高水平。 上周，熱浪席卷了太平洋西北部地區(qū)，氣價持續(xù)上漲。
本周，天氣對天然氣價格看起來也很樂觀。 據(jù)NatGasWeather.com報道，7月6日至7月12日期間，美國對天然氣的需求將達(dá)到高峰。
NatGasWeather的預(yù)報稱：“由于高溫高壓將給東部帶來高達(dá)華氏90度的高溫，而在西部，除了沿海地區(qū)，高溫也將達(dá)到華氏90度和100度之間?！?/p>
微冷天氣系統(tǒng)預(yù)計(jì)將在周二登陸美國北部平原地區(qū)，伴有陣雨，最高氣溫將降到華氏60到70度，隨后將在本周晚些時候席卷大湖地區(qū)和東部地區(qū)，以冷卻目前的高溫，并在本周中期緩解全國需求。 NatGasWeather稱：“然而，由于國內(nèi)需求強(qiáng)勁，下周末東部地區(qū)將再次出現(xiàn)高壓，最高氣溫將回升至華氏90度。”
李峻 編譯自 油價網(wǎng)
原文如下：
Natural Gas Prices Fall Despite Bullish Outlook
U.S. natural gas prices fell early on Tuesday alongside a slide in crude oil prices, despite forecasts of high natural gas demand this week with expected high temperatures.
The U.S. benchmark natural gas price at the Henry Hub was trading at $3.618 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) at 12:32 p.m. EDT on Tuesday, down 2.19% on the day.
The natural gas price fell from the $3.70 / MMBtu level it hit on Monday. On Tuesday, natural gas prices fell as crude oil prices retreated from multi-year highs seen in early trade. The price of oil fell as traders turned to profit-taking and others started to fret that the OPEC+ discord could bring about another oil price war like the one from March 2020.
Last week, U.S. natural gas prices jumped amid a tight natural gas market and expectations of high demand for electricity in hotter than usual weather in many parts of the United States. The Henry Hub rally last week resulted in the highest price for the prompt futures in 29 months. Prices continued to rise as a heatwave gripped the Pacific Northwest last week.
This week, the weather outlook for natural gas prices also looks bullish. According to NatGasWeather.com, demand for natural gas in the United States is set to be high in the period July 6 to July 12.
“Strong national demand will open the week as hot high pressure brings highs of 90s to the East, while also hot over the West w/highs of 90s and 100s besides the immediate coast,” NatGasWeather’s forecast reads.
A chilly weather system is expected into the N. Plains on Tuesday with showers and highs of 60s and 70s, then across the Great Lakes and East late in the week to cool current heat and ease national demand in the middle of the week. “However, high pressure will return across the East next weekend w/highs back into the 90s for strong national demand,” according to NatGasWeather.
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