據(jù)天然氣新聞2021年5月12日倫敦報道，國際能源署（IEA）5月12日預(yù)測，從第一季度到2021年底，全球石油日需求將大幅反彈大約650萬桶，并表示歐佩克+團(tuán)體和其他團(tuán)體可能的供應(yīng)增長將“遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)低于”預(yù)期的需求增長。
IEA在其月度石油市場報告中還指出，經(jīng)合組織發(fā)達(dá)國家擁有的石油庫存正在回到“更正常”的水平。3月份的數(shù)據(jù)顯示，經(jīng)合組織發(fā)達(dá)國家石油庫存僅比五年平均水平高出170萬桶。
IEA說：“根據(jù)目前的歐佩克+生產(chǎn)方案，供應(yīng)的增長速度將趕不上預(yù)期的需求復(fù)蘇。不斷擴(kuò)大的供需缺口為進(jìn)一步放松歐佩克+減產(chǎn)或更大幅度的庫存削減鋪平了道路。”
李峻 編譯自 天然氣新聞
原文如下：
IEA sees major oil demand rebound of 6.5 million b/d between Q1 and end-2021
The International Energy Agency on May 12 forecast a major rebound in oil demand of some 6.5 million b/d between the first quarter and the end of 2021, and said likely supply growth, by the OPEC+ group and others, would be "nowhere close" to the expected demand increase.
In its monthly oil market report, the IEA also noted oil stocks held by the OECD developed countries were returning to "more normal" levels, based on figures from March showing levels just 1.7 million barrels above the five-year average.
"Under the current OPEC+ production scenario, supplies won't rise fast enough to keep pace with the expected demand recovery," the IEA said. "The widening supply and demand gap paves the way for a further easing of OPEC+ supply cuts or even sharper stock draws."
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