據(jù)4月29日Oil Monster消息:原油價(jià)格周三上漲逾1%,此前美國(guó)餾分油庫(kù)存大幅減少,煉油商將活動(dòng)增加至一年多來(lái)的最高水平,提振了全球主要石油消費(fèi)國(guó)對(duì)燃料需求上升的希望。
由歐佩克及其盟友組成的歐佩克+組織周二決定堅(jiān)持從5月至7月分階段放寬石油生產(chǎn)限制的計(jì)劃,這表明該組織對(duì)全球需求將復(fù)蘇充滿信心。
布倫特原油期貨上漲85美分,收于每桶67.27美元,漲幅1.3%。美國(guó)西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油期貨上漲92美分,收于每桶63.86美元,漲幅1.5%。
美國(guó)能源信息署(EIA)稱,上周美國(guó)原油庫(kù)存增加9萬(wàn)桶,遠(yuǎn)低于分析師預(yù)估的65.9萬(wàn)桶。
包括取暖油和柴油在內(nèi)的餾分油庫(kù)存本周減少330萬(wàn)桶,煉油率升至產(chǎn)能的85.4%,為2020年3月以來(lái)的最高水平。
瑞穗能源期貨總監(jiān)鮑勃·雅格表示:“在播種季節(jié)和在線卡車配送期間,柴油銷量相當(dāng)可觀。播種季正在為餾分油市場(chǎng)帶來(lái)奇跡?!?/p>
在歐佩克+專家本周早些時(shí)候發(fā)布的一份報(bào)告中,該組織預(yù)測(cè)2021年全球石油需求將增加600萬(wàn)桶/天,而去年全球石油需求因疫情大幅減少950萬(wàn)桶/天。
美國(guó)高盛銀行表示,隨著歐洲疫苗接種速度加快和旅行需求攀升,預(yù)計(jì)未來(lái)6個(gè)月石油需求將出現(xiàn)歷史上最大增幅,達(dá)到520萬(wàn)桶/天。另外,5月份放松國(guó)際旅行限制將使航空燃油需求增加150萬(wàn)桶/天。
馮娟 摘譯自 Oil Monster
原文如下:
Oil Gains More Than 1% on Fuel Demand Optimism
Crude prices rose more than 1% on Wednesday, after U.S. distillate inventories posted a large drawdown and refiners ramped up activity to the highest in over a year, boosting hopes for rising fuel demand in the world's top oil consumer.
OPEC+, comprising of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, on Tuesday decided to stick to plans for a phased easing of oil production restrictions from May to July, an indication that the group is confident that global demand will recovery.
"The market is supported by the general belief that the COVID endgame is in sight," said Tamas Varga, analyst at PVM Oil associates.
Brent crude futures gained 85 cents, or 1.3%, to settle at $67.27 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 92 cents, or 1.5%, to settle at $63.86 a barrel.
U.S. crude inventories rose by 90,000 barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration said, much smaller than analysts' forecasts for a 659,000-barrel build.
Distillate stockpiles, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, fell by 3.3 million barrels in the week, and refining rates rose to 85.4% of capacity, their highest since March 2020.
"Between planting season and online truck deliveries, you have a nice number in the diesel," said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho. "Planting season is doing wonders for the distillate market."
In a report by OPEC+ experts earlier in the week, the group forecast global oil demand in 2021 would grow by 6 million barrels per day, after demand plunged by 9.5 million bpd last year amid the pandemic.
U.S. bank Goldman Sachs said it expected the biggest jump in oil demand in history at 5.2 million bpd over the next six months, as vaccination campaigns accelerate in Europe and travel demand climbs.
Goldman said easing international travel restrictions in May would hike jet fuel demand by 1.5 million bpd.
In India, the world's third-largest oil consumer, the COVID-19 death toll surged past 200,000 and infections have climbed by more than 300,000 cases a day for a week.
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