據(jù)今日石油網(wǎng)2022年8月8日?qǐng)?bào)道，2014年，南美洲鉆取的新井?dāng)?shù)量占全球海上新鉆井?dāng)?shù)量的8%，占陸上新鉆井?dāng)?shù)量的4%。根據(jù)挪威著名能源研究和商業(yè)情報(bào)公司雷斯塔能源公司（Rystad）公布的數(shù)據(jù)，自2014年底和次年油價(jià)暴跌以來(lái)，南美洲的石油活動(dòng)一直呈下降趨勢(shì)。 

Rystad表示：“2016年陸上鉆井活動(dòng)在趨于穩(wěn)定之前急劇下降，而海上鉆井活動(dòng)的下降相對(duì)平穩(wěn)。”“2020年，由于年初暴發(fā)的疫情對(duì)全球市場(chǎng)造成嚴(yán)重破壞，南美洲地區(qū)的新鉆井?dāng)?shù)量再次受到影響，與前一年相比減少了50%。”

2020年，南美洲的鉆井活動(dòng)僅占全球陸上活動(dòng)的2%，占海上活動(dòng)的3%。  

這家獨(dú)立的能源研究和商業(yè)情報(bào)公司表示，由于需求的恢復(fù)和油氣價(jià)格的上漲，南美洲地區(qū)新井的數(shù)量已經(jīng)增加。預(yù)計(jì)石油活動(dòng)將在今年見(jiàn)頂，然后在本十年結(jié)束時(shí)再次出現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì)，部分原因是巴西在過(guò)去6年陸上發(fā)現(xiàn)的石油量非常低，難以支撐長(zhǎng)期增長(zhǎng)。

Rystad表示：“未來(lái)幾年，南美洲地區(qū)的海上鉆井活動(dòng)將保持在全球鉆井活動(dòng)的6%左右，而陸上鉆井活動(dòng)將保持在3%左右。值得注意的是，雖然南美洲地區(qū)海上井的數(shù)量明顯低于陸上井?dāng)?shù)量，但海上井產(chǎn)量占南美洲當(dāng)前產(chǎn)量的近一半，由于巴西和圭亞那的增產(chǎn)，預(yù)計(jì)到2024年將超過(guò)陸上井產(chǎn)量。”

Rystad預(yù)計(jì)，到2025年，頁(yè)巖油和致密油將提供大部分產(chǎn)量增長(zhǎng)，而巴西和圭亞那的深水開(kāi)發(fā)正變得越來(lái)越重要。

Rystad能源服務(wù)研究首席分析師馬修·黑爾表示：“這些國(guó)家將致力于增加產(chǎn)量，提高公民的生活水平。”

自2015年以來(lái)，圭亞那一直是全球海上油氣發(fā)現(xiàn)總量的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者，共發(fā)現(xiàn)112億桶油當(dāng)量，占已發(fā)現(xiàn)資源的18%和已發(fā)現(xiàn)石油的32%。其中，石油儲(chǔ)量高達(dá)96億桶，遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)超過(guò)了排名第二的美國(guó)（28億桶）。

李峻 編譯自 美國(guó)油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下：

South America’s offshore production will exceed onshore by 2024

New wells drilled in South America in 2014 contributed to 8% of new wells globally in the offshore sector and 4% in the onshore. And according to Norway-based Rystad Energy, activity has been on a downward trend since then, following the slump in oil prices in late 2014 and the following year.

“onshore drilling activity had a steep drop in 2016 before stabilizing, while offshore drilling activity saw a relatively smoother decline,” Rystad Energy said. “The number of new wells drilled in the region was hit again in 2020 with a 50% decrease recorded compared to the previous year, as the outbreak of Covid early in the year wreaked havoc on global markets.”

Drilling activity in South America in 2020 represented only 2% of global onshore activity and 3% of offshore.

The independent energy research and business intelligence company said the number of new wells has since increased due to the return of demand and the oil and gas price increase. Activity is expected to peak this year before going on another downward trend towards the end of the decade, partially due to Brazil having very low discovered onshore volumes in the last six years, making it difficult to support long-term growth.

“Offshore drilling activity in the region will remain at around 6% of global activity over the coming years, while onshore drilling will remain at around 3%,” Rystad Energy said. “It should be noted that, while the offshore well count in the region is significantly lower than that of onshore, offshore production makes up nearly half of South America’s current output and is expected to exceed onshore production by 2024 due to increases in Brazil and Guyana.”

While Rystad Energy expects shale and tight oil to supply most of the production growth through 2025, deepwater developments in Brazil and Guyana are becoming increasingly important.

“These countries are committed to growing production and improving the standard of living for their citizens,” said Matthew Hale, Lead Analyst, Energy Service Research at Rystad Energy.

Guyana remains the global leader in total offshore discoveries since 2015, with 11.2 billion barrels of oil equivalent, amounting to 18% of discovered resources and 32% of discovered oil. Of the total, a whopping 9.6 billion barrels are oil, far outpacing the US in second place with a comparatively small 2.8 billion barrels.